Gun Trafficking and Crime Guns in Maine
Gun trafficking is arming lethal violence around the country. Every year, hundreds of thousands of guns are illegally channeled into communities across the country, where they are used in shootings and other violent crimes that terrorize neighborhoods. Gun trafficking is not just a problem of the individuals who move guns from legal commerce to illegal use. It is also a problem of the gun dealers who supply these guns through their own negligence or complicity. State leaders can take action to combat gun trafficking.
Gun Trafficking Is a Serious Problem in Maine
Maine is facing a crime gun crisis—and the evidence points squarely at the state’s own federally licensed gun dealers (also known as Federal Firearms Licensees or FFLs). In 2023, law enforcement recovered and traced 597 guns in connection with crimes in Maine.1ATF, “Firearms Trace Data: Maine – 2023,” December 2024, https://www.atf.gov/resource-center/firearms-trace-data-maine-2023.
Many of these guns show signs of having been illegally trafficked. Approximately 44 percent of all crime guns recovered in Maine in 2023 were purchased less than three years before their recovery by law enforcement2Everytown analysis of ATF, “Firearms Trace Data: Maine – 2023,” December 2024, https://www.atf.gov/resource-center/firearms-trace-data-maine-2023. See “Time-To-Crime Rates for Firearms with a Maine Recovery.” TTC known in 484 traces.—a key red flag for illegal trafficking.3ATF, “National Firearms Commerce and Trafficking Assessment (NFTCA), Volume II: Crime Guns—Part III: Crime Guns Recovered and Traced within the United States and its Territories,” February 2023, https://www.atf.gov/firearms/docs/report/nfcta-volume-ii-part-iii-crime-guns-recovered-and-traced-us/download.
| Time-to-Crime (TTC) | Number of Traces4Crime gun tracing is an important tool for law enforcement to trace the lawful chain of custody of a firearm in order to generate leads in criminal investigations where firearms are recovered. Crime gun traces are conducted by the federal Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives (ATF). The tracing process involves contacting the manufacturer, distributor, and dealer to determine the first retail purchaser of a gun. For more information about the tracing process, see Everytown for Gun Safety Support Fund, “The Supply Side of Violence: How Gun Dealers Fuel Firearm Trafficking,” December 2025, Appendix 1, https://everytownresearch.org/report/how-gun-dealers-fuel-firearm-trafficking/. | Percentage of Traces5Everytown analysis of ATF, “Firearms Trace Data: Maine – 2023,” December 2024, https://www.atf.gov/resource-center/firearms-trace-data-maine-2023. See “Time-To-Crime Rates for Firearms with a Maine Recovery.” TTC known in 484 traces. |
|---|---|---|
| Less Than 1 Year | 101 | 21% |
| 1 to Under 3 Years | 111 | 23% |
| 3 or More Years | 272 | 56% |
Between 2017 and 2021, only 15 percent of crime guns recovered in Maine were recovered in the possession of the original purchaser,6ATF, “National Firearms Commerce and Trafficking Assessment (NFCTA), Volume II: Crime Guns—Maine State Report,” November 2023, https://www.atf.gov/firearms/docs/report/maine-state-report/download. See “Crime Guns Recovered and Traced, 2017–2021: Crime Guns by Purchaser/Possessor Grouping when Purchaser is Known.” another significant indication of firearm trafficking.7ATF, “National Firearms Commerce and Trafficking Assessment (NFTCA), Volume II: Crime Guns—Part III: Crime Guns Recovered and Traced within the United States and its Territories,” February 2023, https://www.atf.gov/firearms/docs/report/nfcta-volume-ii-part-iii-crime-guns-recovered-and-traced-us/download. Using data from ATF, it is estimated that 179 crime guns recovered in Maine in 2023 were likely illegally trafficked by individuals who purchased them from FFLs.8Everytown analysis of ATF, “Firearms Trace Data: Maine – 2023,” and “National Firearms Commerce and Trafficking Assessment (NFCTA), Volume II: Crime Guns—Maine State Report” data. To determine the estimated number of traced crime guns likely obtained by traffickers through illegal purchases from FFLs, we took the total number of crime guns traces with a time-to-crime of less than three years (212), recovered in 2023 and then multiplied it by the percentage of crime guns recovered between 2017 and 2021 in the possession of someone other than the purchaser (85%).
Maine Gun Dealers Supply Crime Guns Throughout the Northeast
While Maine FFLs are the top supplier of crime guns recovered within the state, they are also a major supplier of crime guns to other states in the region. In 2023, Maine FFLs were the source of 950 crime guns recovered in the United States and traced. Of these crime guns, only 39 percent were recovered in crimes in Maine, while more than 34 percent were recovered in crimes in Massachusetts and New York collectively.9ATF, “Firearms Trace Data 2023,” December 2024, https://www.atf.gov/resource-center/firearms-trace-data-2023. See “Number of Firearms Sourced and Recovered in the United States and Territories.”
| Recovery State10ATF, “Firearms Trace Data 2023,” December 2024, https://www.atf.gov/resource-center/firearms-trace-data-2023. See “Number of Firearms Sourced and Recovered in the United States and Territories.” | Number of Crime Guns Traced to a Maine FFL | Percentage of Total Crime Guns Traced to Maine FFLs |
|---|---|---|
| Maine | 369 | 39% |
| Massachusetts | 225 | 24% |
| New York | 102 | 11% |
The top two methods of firearm trafficking in Maine directly implicate gun dealers. An analysis of ATF trafficking investigations conducted in the ATF Boston Field Division (which covers Maine) between 2017 and 2021 revealed that the top two methods of trafficking were unlicensed dealing and straw purchasing.11The cases encompass the entire ATF Boston Field Division, which encompasses the states of Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont. ATF, “National Firearms Commerce and Trafficking Assessment (NFTCA), Volume III: Firearms Trafficking Investigations—Part III: Firearm Trafficking Channels and Methods Used,” April 2024, https://www.atf.gov/firearms/docs/report/nfcta-volume-iii-part-iii/download. See Appendix FTC – Firearm Trafficking Channels, Table FTC-05: “Number and Percentage of Cases by ATF Field Division and Selected Firearm Channel Type, 2017–2021.” Unlicensed dealing involves an individual buying and selling firearms for profit, but without first obtaining a license from ATF to do so, as federal law requires. A typical instance of unlicensed dealing in furtherance of trafficking is when an individual buys a large number of guns in a few transactions over a short period of time, often purchasing multiples of the same type with the intent of reselling them to other purchasers without conducting a background check. Straw purchasing occurs when someone buys a firearm for someone else, usually someone who is prohibited from purchasing a firearm. For more information about these trafficking methods, see Everytown for Gun Safety Support Fund, “The Supply Side of Violence: How Gun Dealers Fuel Firearm Trafficking,” December 2025, https://everytownresearch.org/report/how-gun-dealers-fuel-firearm-trafficking/.
| Method of Trafficking | Number of Cases |
|---|---|
| Unlicensed Dealing | 194 |
| Straw Purchasing | 187 |
| Stolen from a Private Party | 68 |
| Stolen from an FFL | 12 |
As of September 2025, there are 522 active licensed gun dealers in Maine;12ATF, “State Federal Firearms Listings: Maine,” September 2025, https://www.atf.gov/firearms/listing-federal-firearms-licensees/. Includes Type 01 (firearms dealers), Type 02 (pawnbrokers), Type 07 (manufacturers), and Type 08 (importers) FFLs. however, ATF research finds that just 15 percent of retail dealers, 38 percent of pawnbrokers, and about 17 percent of manufacturers account for 90 percent of all firearm sales.13According to ATF research, actual sales are concentrated among a small subset of this overall group of licensees: just 15 percent of gun dealers (Type 01 FFLs) account for 92 percent of all retail gun sales, 38 percent of pawnbrokers (Type 02 FFLs) are responsible for 91 percent of pawnshop sales, and 17 percent of manufacturers (Type 07 FFLs) are responsible for 96 percent of retail sales conducted by manufacturers. Because importers (Type 08 FFLs) comprise only 0.5 percent of all estimated sales ATF did not provide a breakdown of the number of FFLs by sales volume and is therefore excluded here. ATF, “National Firearms Commerce and Trafficking Assessment (NFCTA), Volume I: Firearms in Commerce,” May 2022, 67–68, https://www.atf.gov/firearms/docs/report/national-firearms-commerce-and-trafficking-assessment-firearms-commerce-volume/download. See Tables SD-03: “Total Type 01 FFLs and EMSV by EMSV Range, 2017–2020;” SD-04: “Type 02 FFLs and EMSV Range, 2017–2020;” and SD-05: “Type 07 FFLs and EMSV Range, 2017–2020.” Applying this data to Maine, there are likely closer to 88 FFLs actively selling firearms,14Everytown analysis of ATF, Maine FFL Listings, September 2025, and “National Firearms Commerce and Trafficking Assessment (NFCTA), Volume I: Firearms in Commerce” estimated minimum sales volume data. Estimate based on sum of 53 (356 *15%) Type 01 FFLs, 13 (34*38%) Type 02 FFLs, and 22 (127*17%) Type 07 FFLs. Estimated minimum sales volume by number of FFLs for Type 08 FFLs was not provided by the ATF and is therefore excluded from this analysis. providing a more manageable number for oversight.
Gun Trafficking Fuels Community Violence
Trafficking is a primary way that individuals who are not legally allowed to buy or possess guns obtain them. According to ATF research, nearly 88 percent of recipients of trafficked guns nationally were prohibited from buying guns because of prior criminal convictions or other prohibitors.15ATF Special Agents were able to identify an end recipient of trafficked firearms in 46 percent of the cases studied. In these cases, 12 percent of end recipients had no prior prohibiting convictions. ATF, “National Firearms Commerce and Trafficking Assessment (NFTCA), Volume III: Firearms Trafficking Investigations—Part VI: Characteristics of Firearm Traffickers, End Users, and Defendants,” April 2024, 13, https://www.atf.gov/firearms/docs/report/nfcta-volume-iii-part-vi/download. See Table CFT-25a: “Number and Percentage of Cases by Top Five End User Background Characteristics, 2017–2021.” Trafficked guns are destined for use in violent crime. Nationally, nearly 28 percent of trafficking investigations involve firearms that were used in furtherance of a drug offense or drug trafficking, 19 percent were used in aggravated assaults, 11 percent were used in homicides, and 9 percent were used in attempted homicides.16ATF, “National Firearms Commerce and Trafficking Assessment (NFCTA), Volume III: Firearms Trafficking Investigations—Part VI: Characteristics of Firearm Traffickers, End Users, and Defendants,” April 2024, 1, https://www.atf.gov/firearms/docs/report/nfcta-volume-iii-part-vi/download. See table CFT-25a.
Trafficked guns are frequently used in shootings. Nationally, 15 percent of trafficking investigations involve guns that were linked to at least one shooting.17ATF Special Agents (SAs) were able to report whether trafficked firearms were or were not used in shootings in approximately 66 percent (6,455 of 9,708) of cases. In these 6,455 investigations, SAs indicated that a trafficked firearm was used in a shooting in 15.1 percent (974) of cases. ATF, “National Firearms Commerce and Trafficking Assessment (NFTCA), Volume III: Firearms Trafficking Investigations—Part IX: Investigation Outcomes,” April 2024, 5, https://www.atf.gov/firearms/docs/report/nfcta-volume-iii-part-ix/download. Use in shootings is even higher when looking at specific trafficking methods: nearly 24 percent of straw purchasing trafficking cases and 16 percent of unlicensed dealing trafficking cases were linked to at least one shooting.18ATF, “National Firearms Commerce and Trafficking Assessment (NFCTA), Volume III: Firearms Trafficking Investigations—Part IX: Investigation Outcomes,” April 2024, 5, https://www.atf.gov/firearms/docs/report/nfcta-volume-iii-part-ix/download. See Table IO-06: “Total Number of Cases by Trafficking Channel and Use in Shootings, 2017–2021.”
In Maine, data shows that trafficked pistols move very quickly from the inventory of a gun dealer to use in a shooting. An analysis of data from recovered pistols shows a median time-to-first- shooting of just 73 days, indicating that these guns were likely trafficked specifically for use in violent crime.19ATF, “National Firearms Commerce and Trafficking Assessment (NFCTA), Maine State Report,” November 2023, 6, https://www.atf.gov/firearms/docs/report/maine-state-report/download. See “Recovered Pistols in NIBIN, 2017–2021: Median TTFS (Years).”
State leaders can take action to address gun trafficking by adopting a comprehensive strategy that includes (1) using data to identify, interrupt, and prosecute trafficking, (2) implementing robust regulatory oversight of gun dealers, and (3) enacting foundational gun safety laws that deter trafficking. For more information about gun trafficking and policy solutions to address it, visit: everytownresearch.org/firearm-trafficking.
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Everytown Research & Policy is a program of Everytown for Gun Safety Support Fund, an independent, non-partisan organization dedicated to understanding and reducing gun violence. Everytown Research & Policy works to do so by conducting methodologically rigorous research, supporting evidence-based policies, and communicating this knowledge to the American public.